← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 19, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver Langford, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Wrexham win | 28% | 3.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (og) | Cameron Burgess · Wrexham |
| 18' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Wrexham |
| 20' | 🟨 | Marko Stamenic · Swansea |
| 42' | 🟨 | James McClean · Wrexham |
| 70' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
| 72' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Swansea |
| 90' | ⚽ | Adam Idah · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 171.00 | 1632.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1417.78 | 1612.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.37 | -28.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.85 |
| league points | 23.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.31 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.04 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.28 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.31 |