← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Josh Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.76 |
| QPR win | 23% | 4.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| QPR −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | David Strelec · Middlesbrough |
| 32' | 🟨 | Riley McGree · Middlesbrough |
| 36' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Tommy Conway · Middlesbrough |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Madsen · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 134.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1526.36 | 1459.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.17 | 32.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
| league points | 39.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -0.29 |
| solidity v1 | 0.80 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 347.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.69 |