← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thomas Kirk, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 43% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Leicester win | 28% | 3.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Leicester +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Bobby Decordova-Reid · Leicester |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jack Taylor · Ipswich |
| 43' | ⚽ | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jordan Ayew · Leicester |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jens Cajuste · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luke Thomas · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 134.00 |
| 1473.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1477.78 | 1521.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.90 | 34.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| league points | 28.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | 0.28 |
| solidity v1 | -1.16 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 27.33 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 167.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 0.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.38 |