← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephen Martin, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.77 |
| Bristol City win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −1 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Bristol City −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.52 |
| Under | 36% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | Milan van Ewijk · Coventry |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 67' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Bristol City |
| 70' | 🟨 | Haydon Roberts · Bristol City |
| 73' | 🟨 | Anis Mehmeti · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 407.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1612.92 | 1501.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.90 | -1.50 |
| eye test v1 | 1.45 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| league points | 44.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.00 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.21 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 1.68 |