← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Kitchen, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 |
| Charlton win | 15% | 6.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Charlton −1 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Christoph Klarer · Birmingham |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ryan Allsop · Birmingham |
| 56' | 🟨 | Isaac Olaofe · Charlton |
| 64' | 🟨 | Alex Cochrane · Birmingham |
| 67' | ⚽ | Tyreece Campbell · Charlton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Birmingham |
| 80' | 🟨 | Karoy Anderson · Charlton |
| 89' | 🟨 | Harvey Knibbs · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days |
| 560.00 |
| 681.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| elo | 1621.80 | 1529.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.15 | -79.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 28.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 37.20 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -1.37 |
| solidity v1 | -0.26 | -1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.03 | — |
| state index | 0.01 | -1.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 170.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 2.19 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 0.52 |