← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Dec 10, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Kitchen, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Wrexham win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0 | 59% | 1.85 |
| Wrexham +0 | 41% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Kyle Joseph · Hull |
| 57' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Wrexham |
| 67' | ⚽ | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 162.00 | 1623.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1429.06 | 1639.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.54 | 2.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.91 |
| league points | 28.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.14 |
| solidity v1 | -1.25 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.05 | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.31 |