← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Dec 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: James Linington, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 43% | 2.32 |
| Leicester win | 29% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Bristol City −0.25 | 48% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Abdul Fatawu Issahaku · Leicester |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Jordan Ayew · Leicester |
| 24' | 🟨 | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 45' | ⚽ | Bobby Decordova-Reid · Leicester |
| 46' | ⚽ | Mark Sykes · Bristol City |
| 50' | 🟨 | Benjamin Nelson · Leicester |
| 64' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jakub Stolarczyk · Leicester |
| 83' | ⚽ | Emil Riis · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 162.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 4.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1503.98 | 1475.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.49 | 3.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.75 |
| league points | 29.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 28.23 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.30 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.14 |