← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Dec 9, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Leigh Doughty, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 |
| Oxford win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Blackburn −0.75 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Brian De Keersmaecker · Oxford |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sidnei Tavares · Blackburn |
| 78' | ⚽ (pen) | Todd Cantwell · Blackburn |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mark Harris · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days |
| 130.00 |
| 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -5.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1447.58 | 1422.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.89 | -11.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -1.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.64 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.10 | 0.99 |