← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Stephen Martin, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 48% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Stoke win | 25% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Sheffield United −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Mark McGuinness · Sheffield United |
| 33' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
| 40' | ⚽ | Femi Seriki · Sheffield United |
| 44' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
| 68' | 🟨 | Andre Brooks · Sheffield United |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ashley Phillips · Stoke |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days | 736.00 | 339.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1635.07 | 1629.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.17 | -0.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.84 |
| league points | 19.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 0.33 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.15 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.76 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 63.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 1.19 |