← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gavin Ward, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 40% | 2.41 |
| West Brom win | 31% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| QPR −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Karlan Grant · West Brom |
| 45' | ⚽ | Jonathan Varane · QPR |
| 59' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 77' | ⚽ | Aune Selland Heggebø · West Brom |
| 87' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rhys Norrington-Davies · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| 158.00 |
| 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1432.35 | 1462.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.21 | 9.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.78 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.05 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.11 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.11 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.45 | 1.42 |