← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Paul Tierney, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Coventry win | 26% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Coventry −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | George Hirst · Ipswich |
| 17' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 40' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Coventry |
| 43' | ⚽ | Sindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich |
| 53' | 🟨 | Christian Walton · Ipswich |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich |
| 57' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · Ipswich |
| 60' | ⚽ | George Hirst · Ipswich |
| 86' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · Ipswich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 1466.00 | 400.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.16 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1492.56 | 1636.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.69 | 42.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | 1.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| league points | 28.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 2.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 20.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 0.84 |
| solidity v1 | 1.09 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.60 |
| squad age | 28.38 | — |
| state index | 0.31 | 1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| travel km | — | 185.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.52 | 1.81 |