← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Dec 2, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Oliver Langford, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Blackburn win | 24% | 3.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Ipswich +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · Ipswich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Azor Matusiwa · Ipswich |
| 49' | 🟨 | Leif Davis · Ipswich |
| 50' | 🟨 | Taylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn |
| 76' | ⚽ | Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 123.00 | 1462.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1448.04 | 1492.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.34 | 25.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.98 |
| solidity v1 | 0.81 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 27.56 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 306.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 0.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.80 |