← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tom Reeves, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Blackburn win | 29% | 3.39 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn |
| 64' | 🟨 | Adam Forshaw · Blackburn |
| 76' | 🟨 | Matty James · Wrexham |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aynsley Pears · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Taylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1612.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1649.25 | 1441.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.76 | 22.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.58 |
| league points | 25.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.29 |
| solidity v1 | 0.06 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.74 | — |
| state index | 0.65 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.35 |