← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Tom Nield, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Swansea win | 21% | 4.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Swansea −0.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
| 11' | ⚽ | Ethan Galbraith · Swansea |
| 32' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Phillips · West Brom |
| 47' | ⚽ | Aune Selland Heggebø · West Brom |
| 52' | ⚽ | Aune Selland Heggebø · West Brom |
| 65' | 🟨 | Josh Key · Swansea |
| 84' | 🟨 | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 26 | Shots | 3 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 120.00 |
| 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1455.73 | 1409.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.97 | -45.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | -0.36 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 26.95 |
| state index | -0.13 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 165.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.22 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 0.68 |