← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lewis Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 38% | 2.52 |
| QPR win | 35% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| QPR +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Emiliano Marcondes · Norwich |
| 11' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 33' | ⚽ (og) | Amadou Salif Mbengue · Norwich |
| 36' | ⚽ | Forson Amankwah · Norwich |
| 57' | 🟨 | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 76' | 🟨 | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 80' | 🟨 | Shane Duffy · Norwich |
| 86' | 🟨 | Paul Smyth · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 120.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1356.04 | 1448.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.09 | -12.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| league points | 10.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.59 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.40 |
| solidity v1 | -0.61 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.13 | — |
| state index | -1.43 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| travel km | — | 162.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.62 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.56 |