← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Webb, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.56 |
| Charlton win | 13% | 7.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Coventry −1.25 | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Harvey Knibbs · Charlton |
| 14' | 🟨 | Kayne Ramsay · Charlton |
| 40' | ⚽ | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 44' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 89' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 3 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 393.00 | 667.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1627.28 | 1551.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.64 | -58.26 |
| eye test v1 | 1.18 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.65 |
| league points | 40.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.35 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | -1.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.92 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 149.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 0.74 |