← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Anthony Backhouse, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Sheffield United win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Leicester −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Sheffield United |
| 4' | ⚽ | Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United |
| 32' | ⚽ | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
| 53' | ⚽ | Stephy Mavididi · Leicester |
| 68' | 🟨 | Boubakary Soumaré · Leicester |
| 83' | ⚽ | Jordan James · Leicester |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jordan James · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam McCallum · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| 0.80 |
| coach days | 120.00 | 729.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 10.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.94 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1643.81 | 1622.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.21 | -0.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.56 |
| solidity v1 | -0.37 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.41 | 26.62 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 86.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.28 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.83 |