← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 28, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Matt Donohue, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.91 |
| Oxford win | 16% | 6.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +1 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Ipswich +1 | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Mark Harris · Oxford |
| 53' | ⚽ | Leif Davis · Ipswich |
| 77' | ⚽ | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 119.00 | 1458.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 4.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1425.37 | 1502.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.20 | 57.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| league points | 15.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.99 | 0.69 |
| solidity v1 | -0.67 | 1.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | — | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.85 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 0.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 1.67 |