← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Nov 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Ruebyn Ricardo, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Bristol City win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Bristol City +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Nathan Broadhead · Wrexham |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dan Scarr · Wrexham |
| 50' | 🟨 | Yu Hirakawa · Bristol City |
| 53' | 🟨 | Robert Dickie · Bristol City |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Radek Vitek · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1609.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1625.13 | 1654.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.48 | -13.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| league points | 22.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.87 |
| solidity v1 | -0.04 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 30.74 | 27.76 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.06 | 0.92 |