← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Nov 26, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Adam Herczeg, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 42% | 2.34 |
| QPR win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Blackburn −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 2.00 |
| Over | 46% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Blackburn |
| 37' | 🟨 | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 78' | ⚽ | Paul Smyth · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 117.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1453.75 | 1436.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.75 | -35.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| league points | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 4.99 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | -0.16 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 290.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.82 | 1.45 |