← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Nov 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Tom Reeves, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Oxford win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Oxford −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kellen Fisher · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Filip Krastev · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.34 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 116.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1355.76 | 1425.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.05 | -15.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.56 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -0.98 |
| solidity v1 | -0.64 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.13 | — |
| state index | -1.55 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.65 | 1.61 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 0.81 |