← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Nov 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Matt Donohue, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 38% | 2.59 |
| Middlesbrough win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Middlesbrough +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
| 14' | ⚽ | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 32' | ⚽ | Morgan Whittaker · Middlesbrough |
| 49' | ⚽ (og) | Bobby Thomas · Middlesbrough |
| 85' | ⚽ | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ellis Simms · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days | 116.00 | 389.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1501.69 | 1614.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.62 | 18.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.84 |
| league points | 30.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 2.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| solidity v1 | 0.82 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 28.62 | — |
| state index | 0.03 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.89 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 237.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.91 | 1.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 1.61 |