← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Nov 25, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Lewis Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.84 |
| Hull win | 20% | 4.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ipswich +0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Jens Cajuste · Ipswich |
| 31' | 🟨 | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 52' | 🟨 | Ryan Giles · Hull |
| 69' | ⚽ | Marcelino Núñez · Ipswich |
| 73' | ⚽ | Chuba Akpom · Ipswich |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jacob Greaves · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 147.00 | 1455.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 4.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1449.41 | 1486.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.09 | 50.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.54 |
| league points | 25.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | 0.75 |
| solidity v1 | -0.90 | 1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.47 | 27.26 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 213.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.02 | 0.55 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 1.65 |