← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Dean Whitestone, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 |
| Wrexham win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −1.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Ipswich −1.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | George Thomason · Wrexham |
| 48' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Wrexham |
| 51' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · Ipswich |
| 64' | 🟨 | Azor Matusiwa · Ipswich |
| 87' | 🟨 | Lewis O'Brien · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 2 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 1452.00 | 1605.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1483.79 | 1644.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.30 | 12.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | -0.27 |
| solidity v1 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 30.74 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.75 | 1.21 |