← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Edward Duckworth, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Swansea win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Swansea +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Marcelino Núñez · Ipswich |
| 26' | 🟨 | Josh Tymon · Swansea |
| 30' | 🟨 | Zeidane Inoussa · Swansea |
| 33' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Swansea |
| 34' | 🟨 | Ishé Samuels-Smith · Swansea |
| 36' | ⚽ | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
| 50' | ⚽ | Gonçalo Franco · Swansea |
| 55' | ⚽ (og) | Cameron Burgess · Ipswich |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jack Taylor · Ipswich |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ben Cabango · Swansea |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| 80' | 🟨 | Azor Matusiwa · Ipswich |
| 81' | ⚽ (og) | Cameron Burgess · Ipswich |
| coach days | 130.00 | 1438.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 4.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1452.29 | 1463.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.20 | 6.97 |
| eye test v1 | -1.04 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.56 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 1.00 |
| solidity v1 | -0.20 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 27.12 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 351.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.63 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.49 | 1.87 |