← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: John Busby, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Stoke win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Coventry +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 32' | 🟨 | Sorba Thomas · Stoke |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ben Pearson · Stoke |
| 81' | 🟨 | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 86' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Junior Tchamadeu · Stoke |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bet365 Stadium |
| coach days | 311.00 | 372.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1508.24 | 1600.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 51.31 | 20.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| league points | 27.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 2.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| solidity v1 | 0.39 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.32 | — |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 75.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.34 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.62 |