← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Dean Whitestone, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Norwich win | 32% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Leicester +0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Ricardo Pereira · Leicester |
| 62' | ⚽ | Mathias Kvistgaarden · Norwich |
| 75' | ⚽ | Bobby Decordova-Reid · Leicester |
| 76' | 🟨 | Harry Darling · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jordan James · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 99.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1368.55 | 1471.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.97 | -43.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| league points | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.64 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 0.38 |
| solidity v1 | -0.24 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 27.98 |
| state index | -1.38 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 165.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.39 | 1.40 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.28 |