← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Tom Nield, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 49% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Portsmouth win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Hull −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Terry Devlin · Portsmouth |
| 27' | ⚽ | Enis Destan · Hull |
| 42' | ⚽ | Kyle Joseph · Hull |
| 45' | ⚽ | Terry Devlin · Portsmouth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Terry Devlin · Portsmouth |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jordan Williams · Portsmouth |
| 79' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivor Pandur · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days |
| 130.00 |
| 1042.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1450.60 | 1439.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.16 | -19.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| league points | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 2.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.52 |
| solidity v1 | -0.73 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.15 | — |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 331.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.02 | 1.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.01 |