← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Nov 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Madley, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Portsmouth win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Portsmouth +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Wrexham |
| 69' | 🟨 | Issa Kaboré · Wrexham |
| 73' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 73' | 🟨 | Dan Scarr · Wrexham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Murphy · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 1039.00 | 1588.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1435.40 | 1640.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.25 | -5.12 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.56 |
| solidity v1 | -0.61 | 0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.82 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 0.89 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.81 | 1.04 |