← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Nov 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: James Bell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 36% | 2.55 |
| QPR win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton +0 | 51% | 1.88 |
| QPR +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Nicolas Madsen · QPR |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jay Robinson · Southampton |
| 69' | ⚽ | Leo Scienza · Southampton |
| 73' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 79' | 🟨 | Caspar Jander · Southampton |
| 81' | 🟨 | Flynn Downes · Southampton |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nathan Wood · Southampton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 127.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1439.56 | 1350.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.32 | -25.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 0.99 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.91 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 104.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.31 | 1.71 |