← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Nov 4, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: Dean Whitestone, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Blackburn win | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Bristol City −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn |
| 45' | ⚽ | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
| 51' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 90' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 0 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 126.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1517.25 | 1439.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.18 | 2.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | -0.16 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.28 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.78 |