← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Michael Salisbury, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 52% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Derby win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Derby −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Carlton Morris · Derby |
| 35' | 🟨 | Craig Forsyth · Derby |
| 46' | ⚽ | Carlton Morris · Derby |
| 62' | 🟨 | Djibril Soumaré · Sheffield United |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Carlton Morris · Derby |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ben Mee · Sheffield United |
| 73' | ⚽ | Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days | 701.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1459.07 | 1393.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.14 | 15.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.75 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.83 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | -0.47 |
| solidity v1 | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.34 | 24.90 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 50.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.81 | 1.21 |