← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sam Allison, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 46% | 2.05 |
| QPR win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| QPR +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | George Hirst · Ipswich |
| 21' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 32' | 🟨 | Harvey Vale · QPR |
| 47' | ⚽ | Marcelino Núñez · Ipswich |
| 57' | ⚽ | George Hirst · Ipswich |
| 63' | 🟨 | Liam Morrison · QPR |
| 64' | ⚽ | Marcelino Núñez · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Isaac Hayden · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amadou Salif Mbengue · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days | 123.00 | 1431.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1460.79 | 1445.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.82 | 3.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| league points | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 19.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 1.03 |
| solidity v1 | 1.01 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 27.27 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 112.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.91 |