← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Farai Hallam, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Oxford win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Oxford +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Thierno Ballo · Millwall |
| 45' | ⚽ | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 66' | ⚽ | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 90' | ⚽ | Przemysław Płacheta · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.64 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days |
| 92.00 |
| 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1451.57 | 1513.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.45 | 27.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.71 |
| solidity v1 | 0.65 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.18 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.42 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.35 |