← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Webb, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Swansea win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Swansea −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Charlton |
| 64' | ⚽ | Adam Idah · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 639.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1609.38 | 1454.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.67 | -11.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.22 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.20 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 275.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.67 |