← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrew Kitchen, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Portsmouth win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Portsmouth −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Seung Ho Paik · Birmingham |
| 23' | 🟨 | Christoph Klarer · Birmingham |
| 56' | ⚽ | Tomoki Iwata · Birmingham |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jordan Williams · Portsmouth |
| 61' | ⚽ | Christoph Klarer · Birmingham |
| 88' | ⚽ | Keshi Anderson · Birmingham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josh Murphy · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days | 518.00 | 1035.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1651.85 | 1441.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.93 | -10.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.64 |
| league points | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.15 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.06 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.61 | — |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 194.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.54 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 0.99 |