← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Josh Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 48% | 1.96 |
| Hull win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Norwich −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Jeffrey Schlupp · Norwich |
| 49' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 74' | 🟨 | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 78' | 🟨 | Kyle Joseph · Hull |
| 87' | ⚽ | Darko Gyabi · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 92.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.73 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1381.14 | 1445.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.03 | 39.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 6.94 | 6.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.67 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 28.26 |
| state index | -1.32 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 167.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 2.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.21 |