← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 1, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: Tom Nield, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Blackburn win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Leicester −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn |
| 23' | 🟨 | Axel Henriksson · Blackburn |
| 63' | ⚽ | Andri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 92.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1493.76 | 1419.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.82 | -28.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 6.94 | 6.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.68 | — |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 152.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.52 |