← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Oct 31, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Anthony Backhouse, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Wrexham win | 30% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Wrexham +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 43' | 🟨 | Ben Sheaf · Wrexham |
| 54' | 🟨 | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 54' | 🟨 | Liam Kitching · Coventry |
| 60' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 69' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 83' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 88' | ⚽ | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1583.00 | 364.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1633.50 | 1601.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.12 | 54.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 66.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 14.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 6.35 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | 1.25 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.74 | — |
| state index | 0.08 | 1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 1.18 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.94 | 2.07 |