← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Adam Herczeg, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Norwich win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Norwich −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jovon Makama · Norwich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Liam Cullen · Swansea |
| 65' | 🟨 | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
| 66' | 🟨 | Marko Stamenic · Swansea |
| 69' | ⚽ | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron Burgess · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 116.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 4.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1448.11 | 1387.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.99 | -36.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | -0.56 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.34 | 29.13 |
| state index | -0.67 | -1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 374.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 1.52 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.02 |