← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 25, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: Josh Smith, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 |
| West Brom win | 21% | 4.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich −0.5 | 52% | 1.98 |
| West Brom −0.5 | 48% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.88 |
| Over | 46% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 75' | 🟨 | George Hirst · Ipswich |
| 78' | 🟨 | Chris Mepham · West Brom |
| 83' | ⚽ | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 1424.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1648.77 | 1625.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.46 | -10.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | 0.11 |
| solidity v1 | -0.01 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 217.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.77 | 0.99 |