← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Elliot Bell, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Oxford win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Wrexham −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Nathan Broadhead · Wrexham |
| 37' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Wrexham |
| 65' | 🟨 | Siriki Dembélé · Oxford |
| 67' | 🟥 | Callum Doyle · Wrexham |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Oxford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days | 1574.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1631.59 | 1445.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.94 | 9.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | 0.58 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 30.74 | — |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.90 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.07 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.09 | 1.36 |