← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Leigh Doughty, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 36% | 2.65 |
| Watford win | 34% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Watford +0 | 48% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.71 |
| Over | 42% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 38' | ⚽ | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 42' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 46' | 🟨 | Aune Selland Heggebø · West Brom |
| 58' | ⚽ | Rocco Vata · Watford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days | 82.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1398.51 | 1476.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.07 | -5.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 66.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.62 |
| league points | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | 0.19 |
| solidity v1 | 0.15 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.96 | 25.69 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 143.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.84 | 1.04 |