← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Oct 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: John Busby, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 44% | 2.31 |
| QPR win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.25 | 51% | 1.99 |
| QPR −0.25 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.98 |
| Over | 48% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Rumarn Burrell · QPR |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 34' | 🟥 | Malick Yalcouyé · Swansea |
| 35' | 🟨 | Steve Cook · QPR |
| 41' | 🟨 | Adam Idah · Swansea |
| 87' | 🟨 | Richard Kone · QPR |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ilias Chair · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 113.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1459.82 | 1459.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.43 | 8.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.20 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| league points | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.51 |
| solidity v1 | -0.76 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.34 | — |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 256.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.18 |