← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Gavin Ward, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Portsmouth win | 24% | 4.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 50% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under | 48% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry |
| 50' | 🟨 | Milan van Ewijk · Coventry |
| 56' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry |
| 85' | 🟨 | John Swift · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Makenzie Kirk · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 1024.00 | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1461.62 | 1587.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.56 | 65.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 68.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 2.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.65 |
| solidity v1 | 0.06 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.41 | 1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 186.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 0.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 2.14 |