← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Oct 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Farai Hallam, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 60% | 1.64 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Charlton win | 16% | 6.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton −1 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Ipswich −1 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
| 52' | ⚽ | Sonny Carey · Charlton |
| 55' | ⚽ | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
| 64' | ⚽ | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
| 78' | 🟨 | Kayne Ramsay · Charlton |
| 88' | 🟨 | Harvey Knibbs · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 31 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 16 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days | 1420.00 | 628.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1449.49 | 1599.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.59 | -5.12 |
| eye test v1 | 1.08 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.20 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| league points | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -1.58 |
| solidity v1 | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.16 | — |
| state index | 0.49 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 99.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.16 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.82 |