← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: Farai Hallam, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 62% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Portsmouth win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Leicester −1 | 50% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Ricardo Pereira · Leicester |
| 26' | ⚽ | Aaron Ramsey · Leicester |
| 58' | ⚽ | John Swift · Portsmouth |
| 71' | 🟨 | Yang Min-hyeok · Portsmouth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andre Dozzell · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 14 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 78.00 | 1021.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.82 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1515.80 | 1458.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.34 | -25.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.56 |
| league points | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 14.20 | 14.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.57 |
| solidity v1 | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.56 | — |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 202.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.00 |