← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Madley, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Watford win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford −0.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Sheffield United −0.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.83 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Kévin Keben Biakolo · Watford |
| 59' | ⚽ | Callum O'Hare · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days | 687.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1444.06 | 1405.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.88 | 5.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.94 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.91 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.31 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 25.34 |
| state index | -0.98 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 204.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.34 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.77 |