← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Tom Nield, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 37% | 2.58 |
| Bristol City win | 35% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Bristol City +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Jakov Medić · Norwich |
| 24' | 🟨 | Zak Vyner · Bristol City |
| 37' | 🟨 | Ross McCrorie · Bristol City |
| 59' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Bristol City |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mark Sykes · Bristol City |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 21 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 78.00 | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1405.52 | 1508.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.47 | -25.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| league points | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 13.13 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.44 |
| solidity v1 | -1.08 | 0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.13 | — |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.92 |