← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Oct 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sam Allison, England
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 64% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 |
| Blackburn win | 14% | 6.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Coventry −1.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Sondre Tronstad · Blackburn |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ryan Hedges · Blackburn |
| 57' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 59' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Blackburn |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days | 351.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1580.64 | 1435.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.93 | -29.75 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 14.10 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -0.18 |
| solidity v1 | 1.26 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| state index | 1.21 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 157.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.79 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.31 | 1.28 |